UD Cazorla vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Cazorla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAZ
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ATL
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BEG
3 - 2
CAZ
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAZ
4 - 0
CDR
31%
21%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDH
2 - 0
CAZ
67%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAE
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAR
34%
22%
45%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
CDV
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
CDT
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
MAN
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |