UD Cazorla vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+206%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Cazorla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CDT
3 - 0
CAZ
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 1
MEN
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
5 - 1
ATS
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SIE
0 - 2
CAZ
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 1
CDU
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAE
3 - 0
URG
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CDT
2 - 2
BAE
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAE
2 - 1
UBE
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MEN
3 - 2
BAE
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAE
5 - 0
ESC
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |