Cayón vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CUL
0 - 2
CAY
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAY
1 - 2
LAR
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 0
CAY
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAY
5 - 2
SOL
71%
20%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 2
CAY
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 3
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 1
VEL
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CUL
0 - 0
VEL
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 3
LAR
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 2
VEL
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |