Cayón vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAY
15%
23%
62%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAY
2 - 0
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CUL
0 - 2
CAY
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAY
0 - 0
MAR
68%
21%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TEX
0 - 1
CAY
24%
25%
52%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
GIM
20%
24%
57%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 3
ESC
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
ALB
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 3
ESC
43%
25%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 3
CAS
55%
23%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |