Cayón vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAY
22%
26%
53%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAY
1 - 2
SIE
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 0
CAY
24%
26%
51%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAY
1 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
RAC
3 - 2
CAY
61%
22%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 2
GIM
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESC
23%
24%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ESC
0 - 1
BEZ
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 1
TEX
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ESC
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |