Cayón vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
GIN
1 - 0
CAY
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
CAY
0 - 2
SPB
39%
27%
34%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
ALO
2 - 0
CAY
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
CAY
1 - 1
CEL
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
GRA
3 - 1
CAY
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CAC
3 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
LEN
1 - 0
CAC
59%
24%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
CAC
4 - 1
CAM
55%
27%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
CAC
2 - 1
GIN
58%
25%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
SPB
2 - 1
CAC
69%
21%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |