Cayón vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAY
16%
24%
60%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAY
6 - 0
BEZ
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 2
CAY
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAY
0 - 2
ESC
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MER
0 - 0
CAY
10%
21%
69%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SDF
2 - 0
PBL
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AND
0 - 0
SDF
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SDF
6 - 1
CDE
73%
16%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PCE
2 - 0
SDF
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SDF
3 - 2
SLL
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |