Cayón vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAY
16%
23%
62%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAY
3 - 1
REV
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TEX
1 - 2
CAY
17%
23%
61%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CAY
3 - 1
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
RIB
0 - 3
CAY
14%
22%
65%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 0
BEZ
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
RIB
1 - 1
SAM
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
SIE
48%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
RIN
1 - 3
SAM
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
42%
23%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |