Cayón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
3º
1º
33
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 1
CAY
14%
22%
64%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAY
4 - 2
CUL
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 5
CAY
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAY
2 - 2
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SDT
1 - 2
CAY
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
REV
1 - 3
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
REV
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 1
REV
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
REV
0 - 1
CUL
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 0
REV
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |