Cayón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TEX
1 - 2
CAY
17%
23%
61%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CAY
3 - 1
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
RIB
0 - 3
CAY
14%
22%
65%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAY
2 - 0
SIE
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAY
2 - 1
SDT
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
REV
1 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BEZ
2 - 3
REV
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REV
0 - 1
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LRI
1 - 2
REV
9%
16%
74%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
REV
2 - 0
CAS
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |