Cayón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 1
CAY
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
4 - 1
CAY
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAY
0 - 0
RAC
42%
25%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 4
CAY
14%
23%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAY
0 - 0
RAY
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
REV
0 - 2
GIM
13%
22%
65%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RAC
3 - 0
REV
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
REV
1 - 2
ALB
58%
24%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 1
REV
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
REV
1 - 1
CAS
27%
26%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |