Cayón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 5
CAY
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAY
2 - 1
TRO
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 2
CAY
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 0
CAY
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAY
5 - 2
SIE
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REV
1 - 1
CUL
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
REV
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
REV
1 - 1
LAR
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 3
REV
27%
26%
48%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
REV
1 - 0
NAV
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |