Cayón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAY
33%
29%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
CAY
1 - 0
AYR
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
LAR
2 - 0
CAY
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
CAY
2 - 2
CUL
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
TEX
0 - 1
CAY
47%
27%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
REV
1 - 0
ALB
35%
28%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
ESC
3 - 1
REV
61%
22%
17%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
RIB
2 - 0
REV
49%
27%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
REV
1 - 1
SAN
41%
28%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
AYR
4 - 0
REV
54%
25%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |