Cayón vs Reocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ARE
1 - 1
CAY
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CAY
0 - 1
BEZ
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PON
0 - 2
CAY
38%
25%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAY
3 - 4
ESC
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
RAY
4 - 2
CAY
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
REO
0 - 2
RIB
22%
25%
54%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 0
REO
55%
24%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
REO
0 - 4
TRO
22%
26%
52%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CUL
4 - 1
REO
44%
26%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
REO
1 - 1
BUE
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |