Cayón vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
3º
1º
43
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAY
12%
21%
67%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAY
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 2
CAY
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAY
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAY
1 - 1
REV
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
47%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
REV
1 - 4
NAV
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 2
SOL
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CUL
0 - 1
NAV
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 1
SIE
41%
26%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |