Cayón vs C. Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
REO
0 - 2
CAY
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAY
1 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GIM
7 - 1
CAY
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
CAY
2 - 0
LAR
19%
25%
56%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NOJ
3 - 0
CAY
82%
13%
5%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
C. Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CGU
0 - 2
BAR
31%
25%
43%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 0
CGU
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CGU
2 - 4
SIE
22%
25%
53%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 0
CGU
73%
17%
9%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CGU
0 - 1
DEV
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |