Cayón vs SD Barreda Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
4º
18º
4º
34
11º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
87.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SDT
1 - 4
CAY
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAY
1 - 2
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GAM
1 - 2
CAY
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
0 - 3
CAY
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAY
4 - 0
ATM
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SD Barreda Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 2
BEZ
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
REV
4 - 1
BAR
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 2
COL
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 5
BAR
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |