Cayón vs Atco. Deva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
RIB
0 - 0
CAY
61%
22%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CAY
2 - 2
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
REO
2 - 1
CAY
59%
22%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CAY
2 - 2
BEZ
15%
24%
62%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CUL
2 - 1
CAY
47%
26%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atco. Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
DEV
1 - 2
CAS
30%
28%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
DEV
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
DEV
1 - 0
MAR
26%
27%
47%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TRO
4 - 0
DEV
72%
20%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
DEV
1 - 0
ALB
24%
28%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |