Cayón vs Atlético Albericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
4º
18º
4º
61
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
87.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CUL
2 - 2
CAY
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAY
1 - 4
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
CAY
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAY
0 - 1
TRO
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAY
12%
19%
69%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Albericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
BEZ
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
REV
0 - 4
ALB
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
COL
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
ALB
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
SIE
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |