Rizespor vs Hatayspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
5º
16º
9º
26
13º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
95 | 95 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 14 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rizespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
BJK
1 - 2
RIZ
45%
24%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIZ
6 - 3
GOZ
48%
25%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 1
RIZ
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIZ
2 - 0
GFK
47%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KAY
1 - 0
RIZ
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2025 |
HAT
4 - 2
FEN
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ADA
0 - 5
HAT
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GOZ
1 - 1
HAT
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
HAT
2 - 4
IST
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
BJK
5 - 1
HAT
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |