Caxias do Sul vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 0
CRA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 1
CAX
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAX
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 2
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
0 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAD
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
DUQ
53%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |