Caxias do Sul vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
CAX
4 - 0
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
ANA
0 - 0
CAX
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
POR
4 - 0
CAX
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
CAX
0 - 4
NAU
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRB
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 1
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |