Caxias do Sul vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 1
CAX
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
2 - 0
REM
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
PAU
1 - 0
CAX
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAX
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 0
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
3 - 2
NAU
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
XVD
0 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
UNI
3 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
4 - 0
MOG
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 0
BOT
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |