Caxias do Sul vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAC
47%
25%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
TUP
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
TUP
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
TUP
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |