Caxias do Sul vs Tupi RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 1
MFC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SLU
1 - 0
CAX
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAX
4 - 2
PAN
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
CAX
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 0
URS
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
4 - 1
MFC
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 0
SLU
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 0
TUP
29%
24%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 0
ESP
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
URS
3 - 3
TUP
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |