Caxias do Sul vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 1
CAX
45%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAP
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
YPI
2 - 0
CAX
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 1
LAJ
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAX
75%
19%
6%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
YPI
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAO
65%
22%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECS
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
URS
1 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |