Caxias do Sul vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
LAJ
0 - 2
CAX
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
YPI
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAX
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECA
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
9%
20%
71%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | +1 |