Série D Brazil Final Stages Last 16
Global 1-1
Caxias do Sul vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
REA
1 - 1
CAX
41%
30%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 1
OES
37%
28%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
OES
1 - 1
CAX
46%
30%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 0
AFC
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 3
CAX
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
REA
1 - 1
CAX
41%
30%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ANA
3 - 0
REA
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
REA
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
REA
5 - 2
ANA
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
RIO
50%
25%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |