Caxias do Sul vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
ANA
1 - 0
CAX
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 2
PAU
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 0
CAX
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
CAX
4 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
CAX
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAO
73%
16%
10%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
NAU
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 0
CRB
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
AVA
2 - 4
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
NAU
1 - 3
CEA
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |