Caxias do Sul vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
LON
2 - 1
CAX
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
CAX
1 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
CAX
1 - 2
PAU
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
CRB
1 - 1
CAX
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
AVA
1 - 1
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
NAU
4 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
NAU
3 - 1
CRB
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
PAU
2 - 2
NAU
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |