Caxias do Sul vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAX
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 1
CAX
38%
31%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAX
4 - 2
AIM
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
CAX
32%
31%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 0
JUV
61%
23%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
JUV
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
MAR
36%
29%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
AIM
3 - 2
MAR
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |