Caxias do Sul vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAX
52%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 1
SAO
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 1
CAX
45%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAP
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 1
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
BON
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |