Caxias do Sul vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
CAX
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CAX
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
TUP
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 1
CGA
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
TUP
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 0
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAD
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 3
BAR
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |