Caxias do Sul vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAX
77%
15%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAX
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
71%
18%
10%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAC
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 4
VAS
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 3
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |