Série C Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Caxias do Sul vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 0
CAX
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 1
GRÊ
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 0
CRA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 0
AGU
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUV
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
LUV
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 2
CRB
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
LUV
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |