Caxias do Sul vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
CAX
79%
14%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 0
CAX
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 2
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SLU
2 - 1
CAX
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 1
ECS
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 1
LAJ
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 0
CRU
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
LAJ
86%
11%
3%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 1
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAJ
3 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |