Caxias do Sul vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
44%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 1
URS
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MET
0 - 2
ITU
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ITU
4 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 3
ITU
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
MOG
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
ITU
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |