Caxias do Sul vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
TOM
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 2
CAX
65%
22%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 2
GUA
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
BRA
25%
28%
48%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
TUP
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
JUV
26%
28%
47%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |