Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-3
Caxias do Sul vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SCI
5 - 1
CAX
82%
15%
4%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CAX
0 - 1
ECA
52%
23%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAX
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAX
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
MIR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 3
COR
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
4 - 0
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |