Caxias do Sul vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SJO
1 - 0
CAX
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
COT
4 - 1
CAX
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAX
2 - 1
SLU
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
CAX
2 - 1
COT
24%
24%
53%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
ESP
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 4
GRE
12%
21%
67%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 0
SJO
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SLU
3 - 3
GUA
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |