Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
68.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 2
BAH
13%
23%
64%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECS
36%
25%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAX
22%
26%
53%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 0
ECA
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
BRA
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
96%
3%
1%
|
90 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SCI
3 - 2
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
6 - 2
SAN
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
YPI
0 - 0
GRE
13%
21%
66%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |