Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
72.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
CAX
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
POR
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 0
CAX
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 3
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOI
69%
19%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
COR
57%
24%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |