Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 1
CAX
87%
11%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
14%
26%
60%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ECA
0 - 1
CAX
18%
27%
55%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAX
3 - 0
YPI
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
CAX
2 - 2
JUV
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
YPI
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 1
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
FER
87%
9%
3%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
0 - 0
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
SCI
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |