Gaucho 1 Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
60.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PEL
1 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 2
YPI
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
GRE
14%
26%
61%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAX
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 2
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
YPI
2 - 3
GRE
16%
27%
57%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
EQU
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
GRE
14%
26%
61%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |