Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
60.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAX
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CAX
4 - 0
SLU
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
SCI
2 - 0
CAX
82%
14%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
IVT
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
SCI
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SLU
2 - 2
GRE
11%
25%
64%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 0
PEL
90%
9%
2%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |