Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis

Caxias do Sul Grêmio
58 ELO 87
-12.3% Tilt -19%
1508º General ELO ranking 151º
55º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
14.8%
Caxias do Sul
25.4%
Draw
59.8%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
Caxias do Sul
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
59.8%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caxias do Sul
+20%
-10%
Grêmio

ELO progression

Caxias do Sul
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caxias do Sul
Caxias do Sul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2020
YPI
Ypiranga FC
0 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
41%
26%
33%
59 58 1 0
26 Jul. 2020
CAX
Caxias do Sul
2 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
61%
23%
16%
58 50 8 +1
23 Jul. 2020
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
42%
27%
31%
59 59 0 -1
15 Mar. 2020
CAX
Caxias do Sul
2 - 1
Novo Hamburgo
NOV
59%
24%
18%
59 51 8 0
09 Mar. 2020
SLU
São Luiz
1 - 2
Caxias do Sul
CAX
33%
27%
40%
58 54 4 +1

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2020
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
25%
27%
47%
87 79 8 0
20 Aug. 2020
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
66%
20%
14%
87 90 3 0
16 Aug. 2020
GRE
Grêmio
0 - 0
Corinthians
COR
66%
20%
14%
87 84 3 0
13 Aug. 2020
CEA
Ceará
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
22%
27%
52%
87 77 10 0
10 Aug. 2020
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
73%
17%
10%
87 80 7 0