Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
76.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
IPA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IPA
3 - 1
CAX
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 3
CAX
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 2
YPI
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
YPI
73%
19%
8%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
BOT
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATM
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 3
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |