Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
0 - 2
CAX
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
67%
18%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SJO
1 - 0
CAX
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
COT
4 - 1
CAX
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 0
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SLU
4 - 5
GRE
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
0 - 2
GRE
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
ECS
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 0
CUC
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |