Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis

Caxias do Sul Grêmio
64 ELO 75
9.3% Tilt -12.3%
1508º General ELO ranking 151º
55º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
35.8%
Caxias do Sul
25.5%
Draw
38.6%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
Caxias do Sul
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.6%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caxias do Sul
+18%
-8%
Grêmio

ELO progression

Caxias do Sul
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caxias do Sul
Caxias do Sul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2005
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
3 - 1
Caxias do Sul
CAX
63%
22%
15%
64 74 10 0
29 Mar. 2005
NOV
15 Novembro
1 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
41%
25%
35%
65 59 6 -1
26 Mar. 2005
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 1
15 Novembro
NOV
64%
19%
17%
65 59 6 0
23 Mar. 2005
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 0
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
35%
25%
40%
64 75 11 +1
20 Mar. 2005
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
71%
18%
11%
65 75 10 -1

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2005
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
15 Novembro
NOV
79%
14%
7%
76 60 16 0
29 Mar. 2005
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
55%
23%
23%
75 75 0 +1
26 Mar. 2005
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
47%
26%
27%
75 75 0 0
23 Mar. 2005
NOV
15 Novembro
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
26%
26%
49%
76 58 18 -1
20 Mar. 2005
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
71%
18%
11%
75 65 10 +1