Caxias do Sul vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
URS
0 - 0
CAX
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAX
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAX
42%
28%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 1
ITU
22%
28%
51%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
44%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MET
2 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ITU
4 - 0
GRE
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
GRE
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -2 |